Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Graz-Liebenau. The referee is Isa Simsek.
What's at stake. Grazer AK 1902 are 8th on 10 points after 10 games, 2 points behind WSG Wattens, 1 point clear of SCR Altach. A win would take them above WSG Wattens. TSV Hartberg are 6th on 14 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Ried, 2 points clear of WSG Wattens. A win would take them above Ried.
Form. Grazer AK 1902 have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. In this competition Grazer AK 1902 have gone D L D D W D. TSV Hartberg have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. In this competition TSV Hartberg have gone W L W D D W.
The numbers. Grazer AK 1902 score 0.8 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Grazer AK 1902 average 14.8 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. TSV Hartberg score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. TSV Hartberg average 13.4 shots (4.9 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Grazer AK 1902 have won none, drawn three and lost three. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and TSV Hartberg won two. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Grazer AK 1902 0-1 TSV Hartberg: Grazer AK 1902 had 8 shots to 11, 57% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Grazer AK 1902's record still gives them 22% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. TSV Hartberg to win. A draw is live. A tight game. TSV Hartberg are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour TSV Hartberg. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); TSV Hartberg or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); TSV Hartberg or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Grazer AK 1902 0-1 TSV Hartberg (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).