GFGRE

01:30Fri 30 Oct

CAP

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS vs CA Paranaense PR

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie A, Regular Season - 33. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre. The referee is Alex Gomes Stefano.

What's at stake. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS are 17th on 34 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Internacional, 1 point clear of Corinthians. A win would take them above Internacional. CA Paranaense PR are 4th on 54 points after 32 games, level on points with Cruzeiro, level on points with Fluminense. A win would take them above Cruzeiro.

Team news. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS are without J. Cabral (muscle injury), Danilo Barbosa (injury), Diego Caito (muscle injury), J. Nardoni (inactive), C. Pavon (muscle injury), J. Cabral (muscle injury). CA Paranaense PR are without Claudinho (knee injury), Gilberto (yellow cards), Jadson (yellow cards), C. Teran (inactive), Bruno Baldini (injury), K. Viveros (inactive). K. Viveros is their top scorer.

Form. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D. In this competition Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have gone W L D D D L. CA Paranaense PR have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition CA Paranaense PR have gone D L W D W D.

The numbers. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS average 13.4 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. CA Paranaense PR score 2.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. CA Paranaense PR average 16.9 shots (6.2 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have won five, drawn one and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS won two, one was drawn and CA Paranaense PR won one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 0-0 CA Paranaense PR: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS had 7 shots to 11, 55% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. CA Paranaense PR are the form side, but the meetings favour Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: in the last ten meetings, Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS won five, CA Paranaense PR won four and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CA Paranaense PR or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CA Paranaense PR 1UP (the call is a draw); CA Paranaense PR or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1-1 CA Paranaense PR (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CA Paranaense PR or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.37

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 7 of 8 (88%)83.6%

CA Paranaense PR scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 at home

Double Chance: Draw or CA Paranaense PRLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)60.5%

CA Paranaense PR unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS failed to win 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 2 of 5 (40%)84.9%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CA Paranaense PR: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 5 of 5 (100%)77.3%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CA Paranaense PR: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS GOALS

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.27

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 5 of 5 (100%)76.7%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS scored in 4 of 5 at home · CA Paranaense PR conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 6 · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

CA PARANAENSE PR GOALS

CA Paranaense PR Over 0.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.32

GRE 5 of 5 (100%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)73.6%

CA Paranaense PR scored in 5 of 5 away · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR without K. Viveros (rule 3)

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 5 of 5 (100%)84.6%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.24

GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · CAP 4 of 5 (80%)77.9%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CA Paranaense PR: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES

1.44

GRE 5 of 8 (62%) · CAP 7 of 8 (88%)75%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's games: over 8.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR's games: over 8.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsIN CODES

1.21

GRE 6 of 8 (75%) · CAP 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CA Paranaense PR's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS: only games against sides at CA Paranaense PR's level · CA Paranaense PR: only games against sides at Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS's level

Left off the list: CA Paranaense PR or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CA Paranaense PR 1UP (the call is a draw); CA Paranaense PR or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); CA Paranaense PR win or both teams score (the call is a draw); Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS Under 1.5 goals (CA Paranaense PR's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CA Paranaense PR or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.6%

Gremio FB Porto… goals →

CA Paranaense PR goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RSLWLLLDDDLW0.90 PPG

CA PARANAENSE PRDWDLDWDWLD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS HOMExCA PARANAENSE PR AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.9020%CLEAN SHEETS30%31%FAILED TO SCORE22%4.62CORNERS A GAME7.123.12CARDS A GAME2.251.35xG1.351.42xG AGAINST1.44

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.09POINTS A GAME1.20-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20-2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.81.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.211LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 85/90

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

CA PARANAENSE PR OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RSxCA PARANAENSE PR

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.201.60CONCEDED A GAME2.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS 5 · 50%DRAW 1CA PARANAENSE PR 4 · 40%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-11-28Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 0 – 2 CA Paranaense PR

2020-10-25Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 2 – 1 CA Paranaense PR

2021-02-21Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1 – 0 CA Paranaense PR

2021-06-13Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 0 – 1 CA Paranaense PR

2021-09-26Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 2 – 4 CA Paranaense PR

2023-05-27Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 2 – 1 CA Paranaense PR

2023-10-18Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 1 – 2 CA Paranaense PR

2024-04-17Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS 2 – 0 CA Paranaense PR

TEAM NEWS

GREMIO FB PORTO ALEGRENSE RS

Out: J. Cabral (Muscle Injury), Danilo Barbosa (Injury), Diego Caito (Muscle Injury), J. Nardoni (Inactive), C. Pavon (Muscle Injury), J. Cabral (Muscle Injury)

CA PARANAENSE PR

Out: Claudinho (Knee Injury), Gilberto (Yellow Cards), Jadson (Yellow Cards), C. Teran (Inactive), Bruno Baldini (Injury), K. Viveros (Inactive)

TRENDS

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS have scored in 80% of their games.

CA Paranaense PR have scored in 70% of their games.

Gremio FB Porto Alegrense RS kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CA Paranaense PR kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards