SC Corinthians SP vs Independiente Santa Fe
Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Corinthians SP have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Independiente Santa Fe have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. SC Corinthians SP score 3.2 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. SC Corinthians SP average 14.3 shots (7.4 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Independiente Santa Fe score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Independiente Santa Fe average 11.3 shots (6.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: SC Corinthians SP are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make SC Corinthians SP the likelier winners; SC Corinthians SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Corinthians SP. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); SC Corinthians SP Over 1.5 Goals (Independiente Santa Fe's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SC Corinthians SP 2-1 Independiente Santa Fe (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).