AL Faisaly (Jor) vs Al-Taawoun FC
Match details. AFC Champions League Two. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time.
Form. AL Faisaly (Jor) have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Al-Taawoun FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L.
The numbers. AL Faisaly (Jor) score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. AL Faisaly (Jor) average 12.5 shots (5.7 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Al-Taawoun FC score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al-Taawoun FC average 9.4 shots (2.9 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 77%.
The read. No firm call: AL Faisaly (Jor) are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AL Faisaly (Jor) the likelier winners; AL Faisaly (Jor) are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Faisaly (Jor). Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29, 86% on the records (AL Faisaly (Jor): over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Al-Taawoun FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AL Faisaly (Jor) 2-1 Al-Taawoun FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).