NLNKL

14:00Wed 28 Oct

SDV

NK Ljutomer vs SD Videm

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. 3. SNL. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. NK Ljutomer have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. SD Videm have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.

The numbers. NK Ljutomer score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. NK Ljutomer average 3.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game. SD Videm score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. SD Videm average 5.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make NK Ljutomer the likelier winners, but SD Videm are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SD Videm.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SD Videm or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Videm (Draw No Bet) (no result call); SD Videm Over 1.5 Goals (NK Ljutomer's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: NK Ljutomer 2-1 SD Videm (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKL 5 of 5 (100%) · SDV 9 of 9 (100%)100%

NK Ljutomer: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SD Videm: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · NK Ljutomer: only games against sides at SD Videm's level · SD Videm: only games against sides at NK Ljutomer's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKL 5 of 5 (100%) · SDV 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%

NK Ljutomer: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SD Videm: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · NK Ljutomer: only games against sides at SD Videm's level · SD Videm: only games against sides at NK Ljutomer's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · SDV 7 of 9 (78%)68.9%

NK Ljutomer: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · SD Videm: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · NK Ljutomer: only games against sides at SD Videm's level · SD Videm: only games against sides at NK Ljutomer's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 77%

1.30

NKL 2 of 5 (40%) · SDV 6 of 9 (67%)56.7%

NK Ljutomer: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · SD Videm: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · NK Ljutomer: only games against sides at SD Videm's level · SD Videm: only games against sides at NK Ljutomer's level

NK LJUTOMER GOALS

NK Ljutomer Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · SDV 7 of 9 (78%)78.9%

NK Ljutomer scored in 4 of 5 at home · SD Videm conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · NK Ljutomer: only games against sides at SD Videm's level · SD Videm: only games against sides at NK Ljutomer's level

SD VIDEM GOALS

SD Videm Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NKL 8 of 9 (89%) · SDV 3 of 5 (60%)77.8%

SD Videm scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · NK Ljutomer conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 84% · SD Videm: only games against sides at NK Ljutomer's level · NK Ljutomer: only games against sides at SD Videm's level

Left off the list: SD Videm or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Videm (Draw No Bet) (no result call); SD Videm Over 1.5 Goals (NK Ljutomer's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); SD Videm 1UP (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); SD Videm or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); SD Videm or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.3%

NK Ljutomer goals →

SD Videm goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-40.6%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

NK LJUTOMERLLLLDDLWLW0.80 PPG

SD VIDEMLWWLDDWLLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NK LJUTOMER HOMExSD VIDEM AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.701.60CONCEDED A GAME1.9060%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.29CORNERS A GAME5.863.14CARDS A GAME2.86

TRENDS

NK Ljutomer have scored in 80% of their games.

SD Videm have scored in 80% of their games.

NK Ljutomer kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

SD Videm kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards