Baraunas RN vs Alecrim RN
Match details. Potiguar, 2. Divisao. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. Baraunas RN have won four, drawn two and lost one of their last seven league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W W. Alecrim RN have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Baraunas RN score 1.3 and concede 0.4 a game over their last seven, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Baraunas RN average 6.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Alecrim RN score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alecrim RN average 17.0 shots (7.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Alecrim RN's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Baraunas RN to win. A tight game. Baraunas RN are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Baraunas RN. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, rated 80% (Baraunas RN: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Alecrim RN: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Predicted score: Baraunas RN 1-0 Alecrim RN (11% chance).
The agreed story. Baraunas RN or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).