MOSMOS

19:00Wed 28 Oct

VIS

Mossoro vs Visao Celeste

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Potiguar, 2. Divisao. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. Mossoro have won two, drawn one and lost four of their last seven league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L L W. Visao Celeste have won one, drawn none and lost eight of their last nine league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. Mossoro score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Mossoro average 6.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Visao Celeste score 0.7 and concede 2.4 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Visao Celeste average 12.0 shots (5.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

The case against. Visao Celeste's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Mossoro to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Mossoro the likelier winners; Mossoro are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Mossoro. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Mossoro 2-1 Visao Celeste (10% chance).

The agreed story. Mossoro or the draw, an open game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Mossoro or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 3 of 5 (60%) · VIS 9 of 9 (100%)79.3%

Mossoro: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Visao Celeste: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Mossoro: only games against sides at Visao Celeste's level · Visao Celeste: only games against sides at Mossoro's level

Mossoro or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 3 of 5 (60%) · VIS 8 of 9 (89%)72.1%

Mossoro: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Visao Celeste: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Mossoro: only games against sides at Visao Celeste's level · Visao Celeste: only games against sides at Mossoro's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 5 of 5 (100%) · VIS 9 of 9 (100%)97%

Mossoro: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Visao Celeste: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Mossoro: only games against sides at Visao Celeste's level · Visao Celeste: only games against sides at Mossoro's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

MOS 5 of 5 (100%) · VIS 7 of 9 (78%)86.6%

Mossoro: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Visao Celeste: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Mossoro: only games against sides at Visao Celeste's level · Visao Celeste: only games against sides at Mossoro's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.88

MOS 3 of 5 (60%) · VIS 6 of 9 (67%)62.7%

Mossoro: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Visao Celeste: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · Mossoro: only games against sides at Visao Celeste's level · Visao Celeste: only games against sides at Mossoro's level

MOSSORO GOALS

Mossoro Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MOS 3 of 5 (60%) · VIS 8 of 9 (89%)71.1%

Mossoro scored in 3 of 5 at home · Visao Celeste conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Mossoro: only games against sides at Visao Celeste's level · Visao Celeste: only games against sides at Mossoro's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Mossoro goals →

Visao Celeste goals ↓

0-05%

1-08%

2-09%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-11%

0-23%

1-25%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.8%

0-31.0%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.7%

5-30.3%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.6%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MOSSOROWLWLLLLLDL0.70 PPG

VISAO CELESTELLLLLWLLL0.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MOSSORO HOMExVISAO CELESTE AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME0.672.00CONCEDED A GAME2.4410%CLEAN SHEETS11%6.80CORNERS A GAME4.502.80CARDS A GAME2.25

TRENDS

Mossoro have scored in 40% of their games.

Visao Celeste have scored in 44% of their games.

Mossoro kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Visao Celeste kept a clean sheet in 11% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards