Match details. Mocambola. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ferroviario de Lichinga have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W. Black Bulls FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. Ferroviario de Lichinga score 0.9 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ferroviario de Lichinga average 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Black Bulls FC score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Black Bulls FC average 6.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Ferroviario de Lichinga's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Black Bulls FC to win. A tight game. Black Bulls FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Black Bulls FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Black Bulls FC 1UP (the signs point different ways); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ferroviario de Lichinga 0-1 Black Bulls FC (15% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Black Bulls FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FER 5 of 5 (100%) · BLA 5 of 6 (83%)79.6%
Black Bulls FC scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ferroviario de Lichinga trailed or failed to win in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Ferroviario de Lichinga's level · Ferroviario de Lichinga: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
Black Bulls FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FER 4 of 6 (67%) · BLA 9 of 10 (90%)78.3%
Black Bulls FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Ferroviario de Lichinga: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Ferroviario de Lichinga's level · Ferroviario de Lichinga: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FER 10 of 10 (100%) · BLA 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Ferroviario de Lichinga: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Black Bulls FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Ferroviario de Lichinga: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Ferroviario de Lichinga's level
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FER 10 of 10 (100%) · BLA 6 of 6 (100%)100%
Ferroviario de Lichinga: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Black Bulls FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Ferroviario de Lichinga: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Ferroviario de Lichinga's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FER 10 of 10 (100%) · BLA 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%
Ferroviario de Lichinga: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Black Bulls FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Ferroviario de Lichinga: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Ferroviario de Lichinga's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FER 9 of 10 (90%) · BLA 3 of 6 (50%)70%
Ferroviario de Lichinga: not both scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Black Bulls FC: not both scored in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Ferroviario de Lichinga: only games against sides at Black Bulls FC's level · Black Bulls FC: only games against sides at Ferroviario de Lichinga's level
Left off the list: Black Bulls FC 1UP (the numbers (47%) and the records (69%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (73%) and the records (52%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–114.7%
Ferroviario de… goals →
Black Bulls FC goals ↓
0-017%
1-013%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-115%
1-114%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.4%
5-10.1%
0-27%
1-26%
2-23%
3-20.8%
4-20.2%
5-20.0%
0-32%
1-32%
2-30.9%
3-30.2%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.5%
1-40.5%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
FERROVIARIO DE LICHINGAWDLDWLWWLW1.70 PPG
BLACK BULLS FCDWDWWDWWWL2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FERROVIARIO DE LICHINGA HOMExBLACK BULLS FC AWAY
0.84SCORED A GAME1.500.79CONCEDED A GAME0.5510%BOTH SCORED40%70%CLEAN SHEETS50%5.47CORNERS A GAME6.471.47CARDS A GAME1.73
TRENDS
Ferroviario de Lichinga have scored in 60% of their games.
Black Bulls FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Ferroviario de Lichinga kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
Black Bulls FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards