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Al-Zawraa vs Al-Nasr (UAE)

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Gulf Club Champions League, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Zawraa Stadium, Baghdād.

Form. Al-Zawraa have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Al-Zawraa have gone D. Al-Nasr (UAE) have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Al-Nasr (UAE) have gone W.

The numbers. Al-Zawraa score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Al-Nasr (UAE) score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Al-Nasr (UAE) average 11.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Al-Nasr (UAE) or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Al-Nasr (UAE) or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Al-Nasr (UAE) Over 0.5 goals (Al-Zawraa's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Al-Zawraa 1-1 Al-Nasr (UAE) (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALZ 5 of 5 (100%) · ALN 10 of 10 (100%)100%
Al-Zawraa: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Nasr (UAE): over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALZ 5 of 5 (100%) · ALN 10 of 10 (100%)100%
Al-Zawraa: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Nasr (UAE): under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALZ 5 of 5 (100%) · ALN 9 of 10 (90%)95%
Al-Zawraa: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Al-Nasr (UAE): under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
AL-ZAWRAA GOALS
Al-Zawraa Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALZ 4 of 5 (80%) · ALN 7 of 10 (70%)73.3%
Al-Zawraa scored in 4 of 5 at home · Al-Nasr (UAE) conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Left off the list: Al-Nasr (UAE) or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Al-Nasr (UAE) or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Al-Nasr (UAE) Over 0.5 goals (Al-Zawraa's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Al-Zawraa Under 1.5 goals (Al-Zawraa's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Al-Nasr (UAE) or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.1%
Al-Zawraa goals →
Al-Nasr (UAE) goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
AL-ZAWRAAWWDWWWLDLL1.70 PPG
AL-NASR (UAE)DWLLDWDWWW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AL-ZAWRAA HOMExAL-NASR (UAE) AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.900.90CONCEDED A GAME1.0050%CLEAN SHEETS30%36%FAILED TO SCORE0%
TRENDS
Al-Zawraa failed to score in 36% of their games.
Al-Nasr (UAE) failed to score in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against
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