Athletic Club Sjdr MG vs Ceara SC CE
Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 36. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Joaquim Portugal, Sao Joao del-Rei.
What's at stake. Athletic Club Sjdr MG are 15th on 44 points after 35 games, 2 points behind Nautico Recife, 1 point clear of Ceara. A win would take them above Nautico Recife. Ceara SC CE are 16th on 43 points after 35 games, 1 point behind Athletic Club, 6 points clear of Avai. A win would take them above Athletic Club. Athletic Club Sjdr MG have nothing left to play for, while Ceara SC CE need the win.
Form. Athletic Club Sjdr MG have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. Ceara SC CE have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.
The numbers. Athletic Club Sjdr MG score 1.4 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Athletic Club Sjdr MG average 14.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Ceara SC CE score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Ceara SC CE average 13.0 shots (3.9 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 13 Jul 2026, it finished Athletic Club Sjdr MG 0-0 Ceara SC CE: Athletic Club Sjdr MG had 13 shots to 12, 35% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Ceara SC CE's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. Athletic Club Sjdr MG or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Ceara SC CE are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 76% on the records (Athletic Club Sjdr MG: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Ceara SC CE: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Athletic Club Sjdr MG Over 0.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Athletic Club Sjdr MG or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Athletic Club Sjdr MG 1-1 Ceara SC CE (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).