Al Wehdat vs AL Arabi
Match details. Jordan League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Wehdat are 3rd on 11 points after 6 games, level on points with Al Buqa'a, 2 points clear of Al Jazeera. A win would take them above Al Buqa'a. AL Arabi are 9th on 4 points after 6 games, level on points with Doqarah, 1 point clear of Shabab Al Ordon. A win would take them above Doqarah.
Form. Al Wehdat have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. AL Arabi have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. Al Wehdat score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Al Wehdat average 10.4 shots (3.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AL Arabi score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. AL Arabi average 10.4 shots (2.9 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. Al Wehdat to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al Wehdat the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Al Wehdat. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 17%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 76% on the records (Al Wehdat: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; AL Arabi: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Wehdat 1-0 AL Arabi (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).