Match details. Super Lig, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Besiktas have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L W. Hakkarigucu Spor have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Besiktas score 3.8 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. Besiktas average 16.5 shots (9.8 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Hakkarigucu Spor score 3.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Hakkarigucu Spor average 14.3 shots (9.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Besiktas the likelier winners, but Besiktas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hakkarigucu Spor.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Besiktas 2-1 Hakkarigucu Spor (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Besiktas the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).