AFAZA

16:30Wed 28 Oct

MBE

Azam FC vs Mbeya City FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time.

Form. Azam FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. Mbeya City FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.

The numbers. Azam FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Azam FC average 9.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Mbeya City FC score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mbeya City FC average 6.7 shots (2.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

The read. Azam FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Azam FC the likelier winners; Azam FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Azam FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Azam FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Azam FC Over 0.5 Goals (Mbeya City FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Azam FC 1-0 Mbeya City FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Azam FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.19

AZA 4 of 5 (80%) · MBE 6 of 7 (86%)68.6%

Azam FC scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mbeya City FC trailed in 2 of 5 away · Azam FC: only games in Mbeya City FC's division · Mbeya City FC: only games in Azam FC's division

Azam FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

AZA 5 of 8 (62%) · MBE 2 of 5 (40%)55.5%

Azam FC won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mbeya City FC lost 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · Azam FC: only games in Mbeya City FC's division · Mbeya City FC: only games in Azam FC's division

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AZA 6 of 7 (86%) · MBE 4 of 5 (80%)86.2%

Azam FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Mbeya City FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · Azam FC: only games in Mbeya City FC's division · Mbeya City FC: only games in Azam FC's division

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Azam FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Azam FC Over 0.5 Goals (Mbeya City FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Azam FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Azam FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.7%

Azam FC goals →

Mbeya City FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AZAM FCWDWLWWDWWD2.10 PPG

MBEYA CITY FCLLLDWWWLDW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AZAM FC HOMExMBEYA CITY FC AWAY

1.62SCORED A GAME1.000.88CONCEDED A GAME1.1240%CLEAN SHEETS50%5.71CORNERS A GAME3.381.78CARDS A GAME1.30

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.12POINTS A GAME1.25+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.62.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES8

Azam FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AZAM FC 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

36%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AZAM FC OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

MBEYA CITY FC OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AZAM FCxMBEYA CITY FC

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Azam FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Mbeya City FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Azam FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Mbeya City FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards