ENGLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
21:00Tue 3 Nov
SOU
SOU
West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. West Bromwich Albion have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Southampton have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. West Bromwich Albion score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. West Bromwich Albion average 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Southampton score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Southampton average 5.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Southampton or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Southampton 1UP (the call is a draw); Southampton or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Southampton (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Southampton or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.31
WES 4 of 5 (80%) · SOU 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Southampton scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · West Bromwich Albion trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Double Chance: Draw or SouthamptonLEANIN CODES
1.53
WES 4 of 5 (80%) · SOU 3 of 5 (60%)60%
Southampton unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · West Bromwich Albion failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Southampton (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.92
WES 6 of 7 (86%) · SOU 2 of 7 (29%)51.5%
Southampton won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · West Bromwich Albion lost 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 57% · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level · won 3, refunded 4, lost 3
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.20
WES 4 of 5 (80%) · SOU 4 of 5 (80%)87.3%
West Bromwich Albion: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Southampton: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
WES 3 of 5 (60%) · SOU 4 of 5 (80%)58.2%
West Bromwich Albion: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Southampton: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level
WEST BROMWICH ALBION GOALS
West Bromwich Albion Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
WES 4 of 5 (80%) · SOU 4 of 5 (80%)65.9%
West Bromwich Albion scored in 4 of 5 at home · Southampton conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level
West Bromwich Albion Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.72
WES 4 of 5 (80%) · SOU 3 of 5 (60%)52.2%
West Bromwich Albion scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Southampton conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level
SOUTHAMPTON GOALS
Southampton Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.26
WES 5 of 5 (100%) · SOU 4 of 5 (80%)69.7%
Southampton scored in 5 of 5 away · West Bromwich Albion conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Southampton: only games against sides at West Bromwich Albion's level · West Bromwich Albion: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Left off the list: Southampton or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Southampton 1UP (the call is a draw); Southampton or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Southampton win or both teams score (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13%
West Bromwich Albion goals →
Southampton goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
WEST BROMWICH ALBIONWDWWLLDWWD1.80 PPG
SOUTHAMPTONWWDWWLWWDD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WEST BROMWICH ALBION HOMExSOUTHAMPTON AWAY
1.46SCORED A GAME2.151.08CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.85CORNERS A GAME5.381.77CARDS A GAME1.85
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.85POINTS A GAME2.08+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.15-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.52.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.613LEAGUE GAMES13
Southampton: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
WEST BROMWICH ALBION OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
SOUTHAMPTON OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WEST BROMWICH ALBIONxSOUTHAMPTON
6GAMES61.50SCORED A GAME1.331.00CONCEDED A GAME1.332.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.767%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%67%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
West Bromwich Albion have scored in 80% of their games.
Southampton have scored in 90% of their games.
West Bromwich Albion kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Southampton kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards