Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Watford have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Lincoln City have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L.
The numbers. Watford score 0.8 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Watford average 3.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Lincoln City score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lincoln City average 3.5 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 57%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. No firm call: Lincoln City are the better side, but not at this price. Lincoln City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lincoln City.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Watford 1-1 Lincoln City (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
WAT 8 of 10 (80%) · LIN 7 of 9 (78%)93.4%
Watford: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lincoln City: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Watford: only games against sides at Lincoln City's level · Lincoln City: only games against sides at Watford's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
WAT 7 of 10 (70%) · LIN 7 of 9 (78%)68.8%
Watford: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lincoln City: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Watford: only games against sides at Lincoln City's level · Lincoln City: only games against sides at Watford's level
LINCOLN CITY GOALS
Lincoln City Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.34
WAT 7 of 9 (78%) · LIN 9 of 10 (90%)62.7%
Lincoln City scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Watford conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Lincoln City: only games against sides at Watford's level · Watford: only games against sides at Lincoln City's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.1%
Watford goals →
Lincoln City goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
WATFORDLLWLLLLWLL0.60 PPG
LINCOLN CITYLWDLLLWWLD1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WATFORD HOMExLINCOLN CITY AWAY
0.92SCORED A GAME1.081.77CONCEDED A GAME1.7710%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.38CORNERS A GAME3.462.62CARDS A GAME2.62
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.85POINTS A GAME1.15-0.85GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.69-1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.30.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.813LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
NO · 85/90
WATFORD OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
LINCOLN CITY OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WATFORDxLINCOLN CITY
6GAMES61.33SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.172.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%67%BOTH SCORE33%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.09.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES14.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Watford have scored in 50% of their games.
Lincoln City have scored in 70% of their games.
Watford kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Lincoln City kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards