ENGLAND - CHAMPIONSHIP
20:45Tue 3 Nov
NOR
NOR
Derby County vs Norwich
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Derby County have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. Norwich have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L.
The numbers. Derby County score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Derby County average 5.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Norwich score two and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Norwich average 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The case against. Derby County's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Norwich to win. Norwich are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Norwich.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Norwich or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Norwich or draw and both teams score (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Derby County 0-1 Norwich (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Norwich or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
DER 7 of 9 (78%) · NOR 10 of 10 (100%)82%
Norwich: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level
Norwich win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.18
DER 7 of 9 (78%) · NOR 9 of 10 (90%)79.5%
Norwich: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level
Norwich or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.23
DER 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 7 of 9 (78%)75.9%
Norwich scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level
Norwich 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
DER 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 7 of 9 (78%)69.3%
Norwich scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County trailed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level
Norwich or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.30
DER 7 of 9 (78%) · NOR 6 of 10 (60%)65.7%
Norwich: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
DER 8 of 10 (80%) · NOR 6 of 9 (67%)87.1%
Derby County: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norwich: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.23
DER 8 of 10 (80%) · NOR 7 of 9 (78%)62.6%
Derby County: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norwich: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
DER 6 of 10 (60%) · NOR 7 of 9 (78%)46.2%
Derby County: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norwich: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level
DERBY COUNTY GOALS
Derby County Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
DER 9 of 10 (90%) · NOR 5 of 9 (56%)62%
Derby County scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norwich conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level
Derby County Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.34
DER 7 of 10 (70%) · NOR 9 of 9 (100%)55.6%
Derby County scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Norwich conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level
NORWICH GOALS
Norwich Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
DER 7 of 9 (78%) · NOR 9 of 10 (90%)74.3%
Norwich scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Derby County conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Norwich: only games against sides at Derby County's level · Derby County: only games against sides at Norwich's level
Left off the list: Norwich or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Norwich or draw and both teams score (the numbers (37%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 8.5%
Derby County goals →
Norwich goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
DERBY COUNTYLDLLDDLLLW0.60 PPG
NORWICHWWLLLLLLWW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
DERBY COUNTY HOMExNORWICH AWAY
0.85SCORED A GAME1.771.92CONCEDED A GAME1.8510%CLEAN SHEETS0%5.62CORNERS A GAME4.772.31CARDS A GAME2.08
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.54POINTS A GAME1.15-1.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08-4.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.40.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.213LEAGUE GAMES13
Norwich: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
NORWICH 0:2 HANDICAP
–
54 OF 60
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
68%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 85/90
DERBY COUNTY OR DRAW
46%
NO · 80/85
NORWICH OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
DERBY COUNTYxNORWICH
6GAMES60.67SCORED A GAME1.671.67CONCEDED A GAME2.002.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.767%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%50%BOTH SCORE67%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.011.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Derby County have scored in 70% of their games.
Norwich have scored in 70% of their games.
Derby County kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Norwich kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards