Match details. Championship. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Blackburn Rovers have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Stoke City have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Blackburn Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Blackburn Rovers average 5.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Stoke City score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Stoke City average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 73% on the records (Blackburn Rovers: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10; Stoke City: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Stoke City or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Stoke City 1UP (no side to back); 1X2 - 2UP: Stoke City (no side to back). Predicted score: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Stoke City (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).