Umea FC vs Sollentuna FK
Match details. Ettan. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Umea FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Sollentuna FK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. Umea FC score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Umea FC average 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Sollentuna FK score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sollentuna FK average 3.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 26% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Umea FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Umea FC the likelier winners; Umea FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Umea FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sollentuna FK Under 1.5 goals (Umea FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Umea FC 2-1 Sollentuna FK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).