Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska FF
Match details. Ettan, Norra - 29. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadshagens IP.
What's at stake. Karlbergs BK are 11th on 34 points after 28 games, 1 point behind Gefle IF, 3 points clear of Sollentuna. A win would take them above Gefle IF. Assyriska FF are 9th on 35 points after 28 games, 4 points behind Umeå FC, level on points with Gefle IF. Karlbergs BK have nothing left to play for. Assyriska FF have nothing left to play for.
Form. Karlbergs BK have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. In this competition Karlbergs BK have gone D L D W D L. Assyriska FF have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Assyriska FF have gone L L W L L W.
The numbers. Karlbergs BK score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Karlbergs BK average 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Assyriska FF score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Assyriska FF average 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Karlbergs BK have won four, drawn one and lost two. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Karlbergs BK won three and Assyriska FF won one. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Karlbergs BK 4-3 Assyriska FF.
Where it pulls both ways. Assyriska FF are the form side, but the meetings favour Karlbergs BK: in the last seven meetings, Karlbergs BK won four, Assyriska FF won two and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 78% on the records (Karlbergs BK: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Assyriska FF: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Karlbergs BK or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Assyriska FF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Karlbergs BK 2-1 Assyriska FF (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).