Match details. Copa do Brasil, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo. The referee is Anderson Daronco.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. SE Palmeiras SP have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. CR Vasco da Gama RJ have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. SE Palmeiras SP score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. SE Palmeiras SP average 14.9 shots (5.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. CR Vasco da Gama RJ score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CR Vasco da Gama RJ average 15.1 shots (5.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings SE Palmeiras SP have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SE Palmeiras SP won three and CR Vasco da Gama RJ won one. The last time they met, on 23 Aug 2026, it finished SE Palmeiras SP 4-1 CR Vasco da Gama RJ: SE Palmeiras SP had 13 shots to 12, 57% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and SE Palmeiras SP are not clearly stronger. CR Vasco da Gama RJ's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. SE Palmeiras SP or the draw. A tight game. SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SE Palmeiras SP; the meetings favour SE Palmeiras SP. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SE Palmeiras SP 1-1 CR Vasco da Gama RJ (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
SE Palmeiras SP or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.14
SEP 5 of 5 (100%) · CRV 7 of 7 (100%)90.5%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Double Chance: SE Palmeiras SP or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.16
SEP 7 of 7 (100%) · CRV 3 of 7 (43%)80.6%
SE Palmeiras SP unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ failed to win 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE Palmeiras SP or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.11
SEP 7 of 7 (100%) · CRV 3 of 7 (43%)74.4%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · the call is SE Palmeiras SP or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penal
SE Palmeiras SP 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.44
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · CRV 5 of 7 (71%)69.5%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ trailed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · the call is SE Palmeiras SP or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, a
SE Palmeiras SP or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
SEP 6 of 7 (86%) · CRV 2 of 7 (29%)68.4%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 4 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE Palmeiras SP or draw and under 2.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.98
SEP 6 of 7 (86%) · CRV 2 of 7 (29%)53.4%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 3 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · rule 2: the meetings back SE Palmeiras SP: in the last 10 meetings, SE Palmeiras
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
SEP 6 of 7 (86%) · CRV 4 of 7 (57%)84%
SE Palmeiras SP: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
SEP 6 of 7 (86%) · CRV 4 of 7 (57%)77.7%
SE Palmeiras SP: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.74
SEP 6 of 7 (86%) · CRV 2 of 7 (29%)53.4%
SE Palmeiras SP: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 3 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE PALMEIRAS SP GOALS
SE Palmeiras SP Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
SEP 5 of 7 (71%) · CRV 5 of 7 (71%)80.4%
SE Palmeiras SP scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 6 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
SEP 5 of 7 (71%) · CRV 5 of 7 (71%)74.4%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.49
SEP 5 of 7 (71%) · CRV 5 of 7 (71%)70.2%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SEP 6 of 7 (86%) · CRV 4 of 7 (57%)71.4%
SE Palmeiras SP's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CR Vasco da Gama RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at CR Vasco da Gama RJ's level · CR Vasco da Gama RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.2%
SE Palmeiras SP goals →
CR Vasco da Gama RJ goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
SE PALMEIRAS SPWLDWWWWLWD2.00 PPG
CR VASCO DA GAMA RJWWWWDWLLWL1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SE PALMEIRAS SP HOMExCR VASCO DA GAMA RJ AWAY
1.50SCORED A GAME1.700.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%CLEAN SHEETS40%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%5.10CORNERS A GAME5.902.90CARDS A GAME1.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.20POINTS A GAME1.88+1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62+10.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.92.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES8
SE Palmeiras SP: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
SE PALMEIRAS SP OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SE PALMEIRAS SPxCR VASCO DA GAMA RJ
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.200.20CONCEDED A GAME1.601.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%6.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.810.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
SE PALMEIRAS SP 7 · 70%DRAW 2CR VASCO DA GAMA RJ 1 · 10%