Match details. Turkiye Kupasi, 3rd Round. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Umraniyespor have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS have gone W.
The numbers. Umraniyespor score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Umraniyespor average 11.2 shots (4.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS average 13.7 shots (6.1 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 12% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS are the better side, but not at this price. Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Umraniyespor 1-1 Kucukcekmece Sinop Spor AS (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).