Lernayin Artsakh FC vs FC Shirak Gyumri
Match details. Armenian Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Lernayin Artsakh FC have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Lernayin Artsakh FC have gone W. FC Shirak Gyumri have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.
The numbers. Lernayin Artsakh FC score 3.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Lernayin Artsakh FC average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. FC Shirak Gyumri score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Lernayin Artsakh FC have won three, drawn two and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Lernayin Artsakh FC won one, one was drawn and FC Shirak Gyumri won two. The last time they met, on 5 Jun 2023, it finished Lernayin Artsakh FC 0-1 FC Shirak Gyumri.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Lernayin Artsakh FC's record still gives them 54% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. FC Shirak Gyumri or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Lernayin Artsakh FC the likelier winners; Lernayin Artsakh FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lernayin Artsakh FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Shirak Gyumri or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lernayin Artsakh FC 1-1 FC Shirak Gyumri (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).