FJFKJ

19:00Wed 28 Oct

CRV

FK Jedinstvo UB vs Crvena Zvezda

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Dragan Dzajić, Ub.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FK Jedinstvo UB have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. Crvena Zvezda have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.

The numbers. FK Jedinstvo UB score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Crvena Zvezda score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Crvena Zvezda average 17.1 shots (6.6 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.

Head to head. Crvena Zvezda have won all of the last three meetings. Three of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 30 Apr 2026, it finished FK Jedinstvo UB 1-2 Crvena Zvezda.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 96% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: Crvena Zvezda are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Crvena Zvezda the likelier winners; Crvena Zvezda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Crvena Zvezda; the meetings favour Crvena Zvezda. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Three of the last three meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Crvena Zvezda Over 1.5 Goals (FK Jedinstvo UB's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Jedinstvo UB 0-3 Crvena Zvezda (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Crvena Zvezda or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKJ 5 of 6 (83%) · CRV 4 of 5 (80%)86.8%

Crvena Zvezda: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · FK Jedinstvo UB: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKJ 4 of 5 (80%) · CRV 5 of 6 (83%)96.8%

FK Jedinstvo UB: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Crvena Zvezda: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

CRVENA ZVEZDA GOALS

Crvena Zvezda Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FKJ 5 of 6 (83%) · CRV 4 of 5 (80%)94.4%

Crvena Zvezda scored in 5 of 6 away · FK Jedinstvo UB conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

FKJ 4 of 5 (80%) · CRV 4 of 6 (67%)80.8%

FK Jedinstvo UB: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Crvena Zvezda: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Crvena Zvezda Over 1.5 Goals (FK Jedinstvo UB's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–3 11.7%

FK Jedinstvo UB goals →

Crvena Zvezda goals ↓

0-03%

1-02%

2-00.6%

3-00.1%

4-00.0%

5-00.0%

0-18%

1-16%

2-12%

3-10.4%

4-10.1%

5-10.0%

0-212%

1-28%

2-23%

3-20.5%

4-20.1%

5-20.0%

0-312%

1-38%

2-32%

3-30.5%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-48%

1-45%

2-42%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-55%

1-53%

2-51%

3-50.2%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK JEDINSTVO UBDLWLLLDLWW1.10 PPG

CRVENA ZVEZDAWDWWWWLWDW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK JEDINSTVO UB HOMExCRVENA ZVEZDA AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME2.101.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS50%33%FAILED TO SCORE8%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.08POINTS A GAME2.85-0.31GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.23–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.013LEAGUE GAMES13

Crvena Zvezda: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

CRVENA ZVEZDA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FK JEDINSTVO UB OR DRAW

29%

NO · 80/85

CRVENA ZVEZDA OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FK JEDINSTVO UBxCRVENA ZVEZDA

7GAMES61.29SCORED A GAME1.501.43CONCEDED A GAME0.172.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.771%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%71%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

FK JEDINSTVO UB 0 · 0%DRAW 0CRVENA ZVEZDA 3 · 100%

1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-07-20FK Jedinstvo UB 0 – 4 Crvena Zvezda

2024-12-18FK Jedinstvo UB 0 – 4 Crvena Zvezda

2026-04-30FK Jedinstvo UB 1 – 2 Crvena Zvezda

TRENDS

FK Jedinstvo UB have scored in 70% of their games.

Crvena Zvezda have scored in 90% of their games.

FK Jedinstvo UB kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Crvena Zvezda kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to head