Match details. NB II, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Nagykanizsai are 14th on 9 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Szeged 2011, 2 points clear of Kozarmisleny FC. A win would take them above Szeged 2011. Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia are 13th on 10 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Karcag SE, 1 point clear of Nagykanizsai ULE. A win would take them above Karcag SE.
Form. FC Nagykanizsai have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition FC Nagykanizsai have gone L L L W W L. Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D. In this competition Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia have gone L W D L D D.
The numbers. FC Nagykanizsai score 0.6 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Nagykanizsai average 5.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia average 5.4 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The case against. FC Nagykanizsai's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia to win. A tight game. Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 76% on the records (FC Nagykanizsai: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10; Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Nagykanizsai or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Nagykanizsai 0-1 Szeged-Csanad Grosics Akademia (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).