LECLEC

18:00Sun 1 Nov

GEN

GEN

Lecce vs Genoa

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

LECv

GEN

Under 3.5 Goals

Lecce v Genoa

Italy - Serie A · 18:00

1.23odds

81%book

+2edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. The referee is Matteo Marchetti.

What's at stake. Lecce are 14th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Genoa, 1 point clear of Sassuolo. A win would take them above Genoa. Genoa are 13th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Atalanta, 1 point clear of Lecce. A win would take them above Atalanta.

Team news. Lecce are without M. Berisha (thigh injury), L. Coulibaly (thigh injury), K. Gaspar (red card), W. Geubbels (muscle injury), I. Ilic (thigh injury), S. Pierotti (ankle injury). L. Coulibaly is their top scorer. Genoa are without E. Havel (ankle injury), L. Venturino (knee injury), M. E. Ellertsson (ankle injury), E. Havel (ankle injury), L. Venturino (knee injury), M. E. Ellertsson (ankle injury).

Form. Lecce have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Genoa have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.

The numbers. Lecce score one and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Lecce average 11.3 shots (4.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Genoa score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Genoa average 10.9 shots (3.1 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Lecce have won two, drawn three and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Lecce won one, two were drawn and Genoa won one. The last time they met, on 24 May 2026, it finished Lecce 1-0 Genoa: Lecce had 9 shots to 8, 32% of the ball, two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Lecce's record still gives them 42% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The read. Genoa to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Genoa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Genoa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 75% on the records (Lecce: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Genoa: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9). Backup: Genoa or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lecce 0-1 Genoa (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Genoa or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.20

LEC 7 of 9 (78%) · GEN 7 of 9 (78%)86.7%

Genoa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Genoa or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

LEC 3 of 5 (60%) · GEN 5 of 9 (56%)60.7%

Genoa scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Genoa or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

LEC 4 of 9 (44%) · GEN 4 of 9 (44%)60%

Lecce: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 4 of 6 · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level

Genoa 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.71

LEC 3 of 5 (60%) · GEN 4 of 9 (44%)57%

Genoa scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lecce trailed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level

GOALS

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.23

LEC 6 of 9 (67%) · GEN 8 of 9 (89%)82.6%

Lecce: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 6 of 6 · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.62

LEC 3 of 9 (33%) · GEN 6 of 9 (67%)66.8%

Lecce: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 6 · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level

LECCE GOALS

Lecce Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

LEC 6 of 9 (67%) · GEN 5 of 9 (56%)76.2%

Lecce scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 6 of 6 · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.55

LEC 8 of 9 (89%) · GEN 7 of 9 (78%)75%

Lecce: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Lecce: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at Lecce's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9%

Lecce goals →

Genoa goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LECCELWLLWLLWLL0.90 PPG

GENOALLLDWLWLWW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LECCE HOMExGENOA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME0.902.10CONCEDED A GAME1.3020%CLEAN SHEETS30%44%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.70CORNERS A GAME4.902.00CARDS A GAME2.201.23xG0.902.10xG AGAINST1.39

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.11-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56-3.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.90.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9

Genoa: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

83%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

46%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

85%

OKAY · 85/90

LECCE OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

GENOA OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LECCExGENOA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.202.40CONCEDED A GAME1.003.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.28.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

LECCE 2 · 20%DRAW 3GENOA 5 · 50%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-08-12Lecce 2 – 3 Genoa

2018-08-11Lecce 0 – 4 Genoa

2019-12-08Lecce 2 – 2 Genoa

2020-07-19Lecce 1 – 2 Genoa

2023-09-22Lecce 1 – 0 Genoa

2024-01-28Lecce 1 – 2 Genoa

2025-01-05Lecce 0 – 0 Genoa

2025-03-14Lecce 1 – 2 Genoa

TEAM NEWS

LECCE

Out: M. Berisha (Thigh Injury), L. Coulibaly (Thigh Injury), K. Gaspar (Red Card), W. Geubbels (Muscle Injury), I. Ilic (Thigh Injury), S. Pierotti (Ankle Injury)

GENOA

Out: E. Havel (Ankle Injury), L. Venturino (Knee Injury), M. E. Ellertsson (Ankle Injury), E. Havel (Ankle Injury), L. Venturino (Knee Injury), M. E. Ellertsson (Ankle Injury)

TRENDS

Lecce have scored in 50% of their games.

Genoa have scored in 70% of their games.

Lecce kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Genoa kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards