Match details. 3. SNL, East - 11. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. NK Korotan are 10th on 11 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Rače, 2 points clear of Dobrovce. A win would take them above Rače. NK Sampion Celje are 14th on 4 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Limbuš Pekre.
Form. NK Korotan have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. In this competition NK Korotan have gone L L D W D L. NK Sampion Celje have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition NK Sampion Celje have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. NK Korotan score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. NK Korotan average 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. NK Sampion Celje score one and concede three a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Sampion Celje average 6.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings NK Korotan have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 29 May 2021, it finished NK Korotan 2-1 NK Sampion Celje.
The read. NK Korotan to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make NK Korotan the likelier winners; NK Korotan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Korotan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 82% on the records (NK Korotan: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; NK Sampion Celje: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Leave: NK Sampion Celje or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs NK Korotan); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NK Korotan 2-1 NK Sampion Celje (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).