Sanliurfaspor vs Golcukspor
Match details. Turkiye Kupasi, 3rd Round. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Sanliurfaspor have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. Golcukspor have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L. In this competition Golcukspor have gone W L.
The numbers. Sanliurfaspor score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Sanliurfaspor average 7.2 shots (4.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Golcukspor score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Golcukspor average 0.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Sanliurfaspor are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sanliurfaspor the likelier winners; Sanliurfaspor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sanliurfaspor. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sanliurfaspor or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Sanliurfaspor or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sanliurfaspor 1-1 Golcukspor (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).