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SERBIA - SERBIAN CUP
FK Vozdovac Belgrade crestFVFKV
16:30Wed 28 Oct
FKNFK Novi Pazar crestFN

FK Vozdovac Belgrade vs FK Novi Pazar

CLASS B
THE READ

Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Event Place, Beograd.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FK Vozdovac Belgrade have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. FK Novi Pazar have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D.

The numbers. FK Vozdovac Belgrade score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FK Vozdovac Belgrade average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FK Novi Pazar score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Novi Pazar average 13.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings FK Vozdovac Belgrade have won six, drawn three and lost none. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, FK Vozdovac Belgrade won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 21 Apr 2024, it finished FK Vozdovac Belgrade 1-0 FK Novi Pazar: FK Vozdovac Belgrade had 5 shots to 14, 34% of the ball, ten yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 52%.

The read. No firm call: FK Vozdovac Belgrade are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. FK Vozdovac Belgrade are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Vozdovac Belgrade; the meetings favour FK Vozdovac Belgrade. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Novi Pazar or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs FK Vozdovac Belgrade); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Vozdovac Belgrade 1-1 FK Novi Pazar (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FKV 5 of 5 (100%) · FKN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
FK Vozdovac Belgrade: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FK Novi Pazar: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
FKV 4 of 5 (80%) · FKN 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
FK Vozdovac Belgrade: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · FK Novi Pazar: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.37
FKV 4 of 5 (80%) · FKN 4 of 5 (80%)79.6%
FK Vozdovac Belgrade: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FK Novi Pazar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
FKV 4 of 5 (80%) · FKN 4 of 5 (80%)64.6%
FK Vozdovac Belgrade: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · FK Novi Pazar: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores
Left off the list: FK Novi Pazar or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs FK Vozdovac Belgrade); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 14.1%
FK Vozdovac Belgrade goals →
FK Novi Pazar goals ↓
0-014%
1-014%
2-09%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.2%
0-111%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-25%
1-26%
2-23%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-32%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.4%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.2%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
FK VOZDOVAC BELGRADEWLDWWDLWDL1.50 PPG
FK NOVI PAZARLWLDWDDLLW1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FK VOZDOVAC BELGRADE HOMExFK NOVI PAZAR AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.100.90CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE31%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.621.75CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.46POINTS A GAME1.23+0.23GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.61.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.013LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
60%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
18%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FK VOZDOVAC BELGRADE OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
FK NOVI PAZAR OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FK VOZDOVAC BELGRADExFK NOVI PAZAR
6GAMES61.17SCORED A GAME0.500.67CONCEDED A GAME0.831.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.350%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%17%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%33%BOTH SCORE17%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
FK VOZDOVAC BELGRADE 6 · 67%DRAW 3FK NOVI PAZAR 0 · 0%
2 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2021-04-28FK Vozdovac Belgrade 2 – 0 FK Novi Pazar
2021-08-15FK Vozdovac Belgrade 3 – 2 FK Novi Pazar
2021-12-14FK Vozdovac Belgrade 0 – 0 FK Novi Pazar
2022-07-08FK Vozdovac Belgrade 1 – 0 FK Novi Pazar
2022-10-23FK Vozdovac Belgrade 0 – 0 FK Novi Pazar
2023-04-26FK Vozdovac Belgrade 1 – 0 FK Novi Pazar
2023-10-02FK Vozdovac Belgrade 1 – 0 FK Novi Pazar
2024-03-12FK Vozdovac Belgrade 2 – 2 FK Novi Pazar
TRENDS
FK Vozdovac Belgrade have scored in 80% of their games.
FK Novi Pazar have scored in 70% of their games.
FK Vozdovac Belgrade kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
FK Novi Pazar kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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