Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Event Place, Beograd.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FK Vozdovac Belgrade have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. FK Novi Pazar have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D.
The numbers. FK Vozdovac Belgrade score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FK Vozdovac Belgrade average 10.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FK Novi Pazar score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Novi Pazar average 13.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FK Vozdovac Belgrade have won six, drawn three and lost none. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, FK Vozdovac Belgrade won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 21 Apr 2024, it finished FK Vozdovac Belgrade 1-0 FK Novi Pazar: FK Vozdovac Belgrade had 5 shots to 14, 34% of the ball, ten yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: FK Vozdovac Belgrade are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. FK Vozdovac Belgrade are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Vozdovac Belgrade; the meetings favour FK Vozdovac Belgrade. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 15%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Novi Pazar or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs FK Vozdovac Belgrade); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Vozdovac Belgrade 1-1 FK Novi Pazar (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).