FK Loznica vs Cukaricki
Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Lagator, Loznica.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FK Loznica have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. Cukaricki have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D.
The numbers. FK Loznica score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FK Loznica average 11.0 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Cukaricki score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Cukaricki average 12.4 shots (4.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 27 Oct 2021, it finished FK Loznica 1-0 Cukaricki.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 23% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: FK Loznica are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Loznica the likelier winners; FK Loznica are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Loznica. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cukaricki or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FK Loznica); Cukaricki or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FK Loznica); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Loznica 2-1 Cukaricki (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).