Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Borca kraj Morave, Čačak.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FK Borac Cacak have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. FK Radnik Surdulica have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D.
The numbers. FK Borac Cacak score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FK Borac Cacak average 11.3 shots (4.3 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. FK Radnik Surdulica score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Radnik Surdulica average 14.1 shots (5.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FK Borac Cacak have won three, drawn two and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FK Borac Cacak won one and FK Radnik Surdulica won three. The last time they met, on 23 May 2025, it finished FK Borac Cacak 0-2 FK Radnik Surdulica.
Where it pulls both ways. FK Borac Cacak are the form side, but the meetings favour FK Radnik Surdulica: in the last nine meetings, FK Borac Cacak won three, FK Radnik Surdulica won four and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Radnik Surdulica or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Borac Cacak or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Borac Cacak 1-1 FK Radnik Surdulica (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).