Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Grafičara, Beograd.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. RFK Graficar Beograd have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. FK IMT Novi Beograd have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L.
The numbers. RFK Graficar Beograd score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. RFK Graficar Beograd average 15.7 shots (6.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. FK IMT Novi Beograd score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FK IMT Novi Beograd average 12.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings RFK Graficar Beograd have won one, drawn two and lost four. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, RFK Graficar Beograd won one, one was drawn and FK IMT Novi Beograd won two. The last time they met, on 30 Apr 2023, it finished RFK Graficar Beograd 0-0 FK IMT Novi Beograd.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 44%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: FK IMT Novi Beograd are the better side, but not at this price. FK IMT Novi Beograd are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour FK IMT Novi Beograd.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: RFK Graficar Beograd 1-1 FK IMT Novi Beograd (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).