OVOV

13:00Wed 28 Oct

OFK Vrsac vs OFK Beograd

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski Stadion, Vršac.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. OFK Vrsac have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. OFK Beograd have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L.

The numbers. OFK Vrsac score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. OFK Vrsac average 11.0 shots (4.2 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. OFK Beograd score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. OFK Beograd average 12.2 shots (3.5 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings OFK Vrsac have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 7 Apr 2024, it finished OFK Vrsac 0-1 OFK Beograd.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 25% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: OFK Vrsac are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make OFK Vrsac the likelier winners; OFK Vrsac are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour OFK Vrsac. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: OFK Beograd Over 0.5 Goals (OFK Vrsac's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: OFK Vrsac 1-0 OFK Beograd (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OV 5 of 5 (100%) · OB 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%

OFK Vrsac: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · OFK Beograd: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

OV 4 of 5 (80%) · OB 5 of 5 (100%)90%

OFK Vrsac: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · OFK Beograd: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Left off the list: OFK Beograd Over 0.5 Goals (OFK Vrsac's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13.6%

OFK Vrsac goals →

OFK Beograd goals ↓

0-010%

1-014%

2-011%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-30.9%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

OFK VRSACLLWWWLDLWD1.40 PPG

OFK BEOGRADDLWLDLLDDL0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OFK VRSAC HOMExOFK BEOGRAD AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE38%3.25CORNERS A GAME3.121.75CARDS A GAME2.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME0.85+0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.69-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.81.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.412LEAGUE GAMES13

OFK Vrsac: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

OKAY · 85/90

OFK VRSAC OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

OFK BEOGRAD OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

OFK VRSACxOFK BEOGRAD

5GAMES71.40SCORED A GAME1.000.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%40%BOTH SCORE57%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

OFK VRSAC 0 · 0%DRAW 1OFK BEOGRAD 1 · 50%

2023-10-27OFK Vrsac 1 – 1 OFK Beograd

2024-04-07OFK Vrsac 0 – 1 OFK Beograd

TRENDS

OFK Vrsac have scored in 60% of their games.

OFK Beograd have scored in 70% of their games.

OFK Vrsac kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

OFK Beograd kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards