FTFKT

13:00Wed 28 Oct

FKM

FK Teleoptik vs FK Mladost Lucani

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Serbian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sportski Centar Partizan-Teleoptik, Zemun.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FK Teleoptik have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. FK Mladost Lucani have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L.

The numbers. FK Teleoptik score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FK Teleoptik average 9.5 shots (2.7 on target), 3.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game. FK Mladost Lucani score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FK Mladost Lucani average 8.1 shots (2.5 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FK Teleoptik the likelier winners, but FK Mladost Lucani are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Mladost Lucani.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Mladost Lucani or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FK Mladost Lucani or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Mladost Lucani win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: FK Teleoptik 2-1 FK Mladost Lucani (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

FKT 5 of 5 (100%) · FKM 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

FK Teleoptik: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FK Mladost Lucani: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.91

FKT 4 of 5 (80%) · FKM 2 of 5 (40%)58.3%

FK Teleoptik: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · FK Mladost Lucani: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%

FK MLADOST LUCANI GOALS

FK Mladost Lucani Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.15

FKT 3 of 5 (60%) · FKM 4 of 5 (80%)71.7%

FK Mladost Lucani scored in 3 of 5 away · FK Teleoptik conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

FKT 5 of 5 (100%) · FKM 4 of 5 (80%)90%

FK Teleoptik: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · FK Mladost Lucani: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.18

FKT 3 of 5 (60%) · FKM 5 of 5 (100%)80%

FK Teleoptik: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · FK Mladost Lucani: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

FKT 2 of 5 (40%) · FKM 4 of 5 (80%)60%

FK Teleoptik: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · FK Mladost Lucani: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: FK Mladost Lucani or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FK Mladost Lucani or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FK Mladost Lucani win or both teams score (no result call); FK Teleoptik Under 1.5 goals (FK Mladost Lucani's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FK Mladost Lucani (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FK Mladost Lucani or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.7%

FK Teleoptik goals →

FK Mladost Lucani goals ↓

0-06%

1-09%

2-08%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-12%

5-10.9%

0-24%

1-26%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK TELEOPTIKLDDLLLWWLL0.80 PPG

FK MLADOST LUCANIDWWLWLWDLD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK TELEOPTIK HOMExFK MLADOST LUCANI AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.101.50CONCEDED A GAME1.7020%CLEAN SHEETS30%20%FAILED TO SCORE38%3.50CORNERS A GAME2.623.00CARDS A GAME2.12

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.86POINTS A GAME1.38-0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.46-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-7.71.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.014LEAGUE GAMES13

FK Teleoptik: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

FK TELEOPTIK OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

FK MLADOST LUCANI OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FK TELEOPTIKxFK MLADOST LUCANI

6GAMES71.00SCORED A GAME0.711.50CONCEDED A GAME2.002.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.7100%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS43%67%BOTH SCORE43%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FK Teleoptik have scored in 80% of their games.

FK Mladost Lucani have scored in 70% of their games.

FK Teleoptik kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FK Mladost Lucani kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards