Aberystwyth Town FC vs Trethomas Bluebirds

Match details. Cymru Championship South. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time.

Form. Aberystwyth Town FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. Trethomas Bluebirds have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D.

The numbers. Aberystwyth Town FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aberystwyth Town FC average 9.0 shots (3.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Trethomas Bluebirds average 4.5 corners and 0.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 40%.

The read. No firm call: Aberystwyth Town FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Aberystwyth Town FC the likelier winners; Aberystwyth Town FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 77% on the records (Aberystwyth Town FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home; Trethomas Bluebirds: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8). Backup: Aberystwyth Town FC or Both Teams Score at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Trethomas Bluebirds Over 0.5 goals (Aberystwyth Town FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Trethomas Bluebirds Under 1.5 goals (Trethomas Bluebirds's own games don't back it (2 of 8)). Predicted score: Aberystwyth Town FC 2-1 Trethomas Bluebirds (10% chance).