Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh Town
Match details. Cymru Championship, North. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Llanuwchllyn have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. Denbigh Town have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. Llanuwchllyn score 2.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Denbigh Town score 1.6 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Denbigh Town average 8.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: Llanuwchllyn are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Llanuwchllyn the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Llanuwchllyn. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.11, 92% on the records (Llanuwchllyn: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Denbigh Town: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: Llanuwchllyn or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Denbigh Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Llanuwchllyn); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Llanuwchllyn 2-1 Denbigh Town (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).