Llantwit Major vs Newport City FC
Match details. Cymru Championship South. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Llantwit Major have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W. Newport City FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D.
The numbers. Llantwit Major score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Llantwit Major average 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Newport City FC score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Newport City FC average 4.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 48% against the records' 25%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The read. No firm call: Newport City FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Newport City FC the likelier winners; Newport City FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Llantwit Major or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Newport City FC); Llantwit Major or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Newport City FC). Predicted score: Llantwit Major 1-1 Newport City FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).