Match details. Cymru Championship South. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Cardiff Draconians have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Afan Lido have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D.
The numbers. Cardiff Draconians score 2.3 and concede two a game in their last seven at home, with no clean sheets. Cardiff Draconians average 7.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Afan Lido score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Afan Lido average 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 85% on the records (Cardiff Draconians: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Afan Lido: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Cardiff Draconians or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Afan Lido or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cardiff Draconians 2-1 Afan Lido (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).