Pontypridd Town vs Llanelli Town
Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 13. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at USW Sports Park, Pontypridd.
What's at stake. Pontypridd Town are 2nd on 21 points after 11 games, level on points with Swansea University, 2 points clear of Aberystwyth Town. A win would take them above Swansea University. Llanelli Town are 16th on 2 points after 12 games, 7 points behind Cardiff Draconians.
Form. Pontypridd Town have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition Pontypridd Town have gone D D W L W L. Llanelli Town have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Llanelli Town have gone L L L L L L.
The numbers. Pontypridd Town score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Pontypridd Town average 5.8 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Llanelli Town score 0.7 and concede 3.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Llanelli Town average 4.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Pontypridd Town have won four, drawn one and lost two. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Pontypridd Town won two and Llanelli Town won two. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2025, it finished Pontypridd Town 1-2 Llanelli Town.
The case against. Llanelli Town's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Pontypridd Town to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pontypridd Town the likelier winners; Pontypridd Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pontypridd Town. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Pontypridd Town Win & Over 1.5 at 1.23, 74% on the records (Pontypridd Town: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home; Llanelli Town: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away). Backup: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Pontypridd Town 2-1 Llanelli Town (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).