CVCEL

14:30Wed 28 Oct

ACG

Celle Varazze vs AC Gozzano

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group A. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

Form. Celle Varazze have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. AC Gozzano have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W.

The numbers. Celle Varazze score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. Celle Varazze average 11.0 shots (3.0 on target), 2.3 corners and 4.0 cards a game. AC Gozzano score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.

The case against. Celle Varazze's record still gives them 28% to win.

The read. AC Gozzano to win. A tight game. AC Gozzano are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Gozzano. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AC Gozzano or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); AC Gozzano or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Celle Varazze 0-1 AC Gozzano (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AC Gozzano or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEL 6 of 9 (67%) · ACG 9 of 9 (100%)83.3%

AC Gozzano: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Celle Varazze: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at Celle Varazze's level · Celle Varazze: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level

AC Gozzano (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEL 3 of 7 (43%) · ACG 7 of 8 (88%)51%

AC Gozzano won 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Celle Varazze lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at Celle Varazze's level · Celle Varazze: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 2

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEL 9 of 9 (100%) · ACG 9 of 9 (100%)95.5%

Celle Varazze: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Gozzano: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Celle Varazze: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at Celle Varazze's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEL 9 of 9 (100%) · ACG 7 of 9 (78%)88.6%

Celle Varazze: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AC Gozzano: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Celle Varazze: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at Celle Varazze's level

AC GOZZANO GOALS

AC Gozzano Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEL 6 of 9 (67%) · ACG 8 of 9 (89%)72.3%

AC Gozzano scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Celle Varazze conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · AC Gozzano: only games against sides at Celle Varazze's level · Celle Varazze: only games against sides at AC Gozzano's level

Left off the list: AC Gozzano or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); AC Gozzano or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.4%

Celle Varazze goals →

AC Gozzano goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CELLE VARAZZEWLLLLLLLDL0.40 PPG

AC GOZZANODDWLDWWLLL1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CELLE VARAZZE HOMExAC GOZZANO AWAY

0.40SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS30%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.12POINTS A GAME1.00-1.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES6

AC Gozzano: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

91%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CELLE VARAZZE OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

AC GOZZANO OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CELLE VARAZZExAC GOZZANO

5GAMES50.20SCORED A GAME1.402.20CONCEDED A GAME2.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Celle Varazze have scored in 40% of their games.

AC Gozzano have scored in 70% of their games.

Celle Varazze kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

AC Gozzano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards