CCCDC

19:30Thu 29 Oct

GRA

GRA

CD Cieza vs Granada

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey, Round of 128. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio de La Arboleja, Cieza.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CD Cieza have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. Granada have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. CD Cieza score 2.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Granada score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Granada average 15.5 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.

The case against. CD Cieza's record still gives them 48% to win.

The read. Granada to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Cieza the likelier winners; CD Cieza are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Cieza. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Granada are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Granada are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CD Cieza 1-2 Granada (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Granada or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · GRA 9 of 10 (90%)95.6%

Granada: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · CD Cieza: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Granada or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · GRA 7 of 10 (70%)85.4%

Granada: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · CD Cieza: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

CDC 8 of 10 (80%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)77.7%

CD Cieza: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Granada: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.67

CDC 6 of 10 (60%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)58.4%

CD Cieza: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Granada: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%

CD CIEZA GOALS

CD Cieza Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.49

CDC 9 of 10 (90%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)72.9%

CD Cieza scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Granada conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

GRANADA GOALS

Granada Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.12

CDC 4 of 5 (80%) · GRA 8 of 10 (80%)84%

Granada scored in 4 of 5 away · CD Cieza conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.20

CDC 9 of 10 (90%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

CD Cieza: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Granada: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

CDC 7 of 10 (70%) · GRA 5 of 5 (100%)81.7%

CD Cieza: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Granada: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Granada are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Granada are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 5.5%

CD Cieza goals →

Granada goals ↓

0-03%

1-06%

2-07%

3-05%

4-03%

5-01%

0-13%

1-19%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-26%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-31%

1-32%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.3%

1-40.8%

2-40.9%

3-40.7%

4-40.4%

5-40.2%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD CIEZADWWDWLDWWW2.10 PPG

GRANADAWWLDLLWWWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD CIEZA HOMExGRANADA AWAY

2.50SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS30%14%FAILED TO SCORE18%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

DRAW OR GRANADA (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.00POINTS A GAME1.90+1.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40-0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.82.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.47LEAGUE GAMES10

CD Cieza: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

CD CIEZA OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

GRANADA OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD CIEZAxGRANADA

5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.203.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Cieza have scored in 90% of their games.

Granada have scored in 90% of their games.

CD Cieza kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Granada kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets