CDCDD

21:30Tue 27 Oct

CDE

CD Dragon vs CD El Vencedor

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.

Form. CD Dragon have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D W. CD El Vencedor have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.

The numbers. CD Dragon score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Dragon average 4.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CD El Vencedor score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CD El Vencedor average 4.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Dragon the likelier winners, but CD El Vencedor are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Dragon 1-1 CD El Vencedor (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (CD Dragon the favourite), goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDD 5 of 5 (100%) · CDE 4 of 5 (80%)90%

CD Dragon: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD El Vencedor: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Dragon: only games against sides at CD El Vencedor's level · CD El Vencedor: only games against sides at CD Dragon's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDD 5 of 5 (100%) · CDE 4 of 5 (80%)72%

CD Dragon: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD El Vencedor: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Dragon: only games against sides at CD El Vencedor's level · CD El Vencedor: only games against sides at CD Dragon's level

Under 4.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

CDD 3 of 5 (60%) · CDE 3 of 5 (60%)65%

CD Dragon: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD El Vencedor: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Dragon: only games against sides at CD El Vencedor's level · CD El Vencedor: only games against sides at CD Dragon's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

CDD 4 of 5 (80%) · CDE 3 of 5 (60%)50.3%

CD Dragon: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · CD El Vencedor: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Dragon: only games against sides at CD El Vencedor's level · CD El Vencedor: only games against sides at CD Dragon's level

CD DRAGON GOALS

CD Dragon Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDD 5 of 5 (100%) · CDE 3 of 5 (60%)62%

CD Dragon scored in 5 of 5 at home · CD El Vencedor conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Dragon: only games against sides at CD El Vencedor's level · CD El Vencedor: only games against sides at CD Dragon's level

CD EL VENCEDOR GOALS

CD El Vencedor Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · CDD 4 of 5 (80%)60.3%

CD El Vencedor scored in 4 of 5 away · CD Dragon conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · CD El Vencedor: only games against sides at CD Dragon's level · CD Dragon: only games against sides at CD El Vencedor's level

Left off the list: CD El Vencedor or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CD El Vencedor or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 10.4%

CD Dragon goals →

CD El Vencedor goals ↓

0-04%

1-07%

2-07%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-15%

1-110%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.7%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.9%

5-30.3%

0-40.6%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.3%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

CD DRAGONLLDDWWWWDD1.60 PPG

CD EL VENCEDORDLWWDWDWLD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD DRAGON HOMExCD EL VENCEDOR AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.131.40CONCEDED A GAME1.3380%BOTH SCORED50%20%CLEAN SHEETS40%4.33CORNERS A GAME4.202.67CARDS A GAME3.20

TRENDS

CD Dragon have scored in 100% of their games.

CD El Vencedor have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Dragon kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

CD El Vencedor kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards