Ajax Amsterdam vs Malmo FF
Match details. UEFA Europa Cup, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. Ajax Amsterdam have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Malmo FF have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.
The numbers. Ajax Amsterdam score 3.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Ajax Amsterdam average 12.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Malmo FF score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Malmo FF average 12.5 shots (5.2 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Ajax Amsterdam the likelier winners, but Malmo FF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Malmo FF.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Malmo FF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ajax Amsterdam 2-1 Malmo FF (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).