VfL Wolfsburg W vs Feyenoord Rotterdam
Match details. UEFA Europa Cup, Women, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. VfL Wolfsburg W have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition VfL Wolfsburg W have gone W W. Feyenoord Rotterdam have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. VfL Wolfsburg W score 3.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. VfL Wolfsburg W average 21.1 shots (7.4 on target), 9.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 68% of the ball. Feyenoord Rotterdam score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Feyenoord Rotterdam average 9.2 shots (3.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
The read. VfL Wolfsburg W to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make VfL Wolfsburg W the likelier winners; VfL Wolfsburg W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VfL Wolfsburg W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.44, 82% on the records (VfL Wolfsburg W: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10; Feyenoord Rotterdam: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Feyenoord Rotterdam or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs VfL Wolfsburg W); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: VfL Wolfsburg W 3-0 Feyenoord Rotterdam (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).