Match details. UEFA Europa Cup, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Real Sociedad San Sebastian have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Fenerbahce Istanbul have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Real Sociedad San Sebastian score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Real Sociedad San Sebastian average 12.4 shots (5.4 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Fenerbahce Istanbul score 2.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Fenerbahce Istanbul average 8.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 0.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 11% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Fenerbahce Istanbul are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fenerbahce Istanbul the likelier winners; Fenerbahce Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fenerbahce Istanbul. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Real Sociedad San Sebastian 1-2 Fenerbahce Istanbul (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).