SK Brann vs Czarni Sosnowiec
Match details. UEFA Europa Cup, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. SK Brann have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Czarni Sosnowiec have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. SK Brann score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. SK Brann average 9.6 shots (3.6 on target), 9.0 corners and 0.6 cards a game. Czarni Sosnowiec score 2.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Czarni Sosnowiec average 12.8 shots (4.5 on target), 11.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 90% against the records' 59%.
The read. No firm call: SK Brann are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make SK Brann the likelier winners; SK Brann are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SK Brann. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40, 74% on the records (SK Brann: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Czarni Sosnowiec: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SK Brann 2-1 Czarni Sosnowiec (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).