Match details. Coppa Italia Serie D, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Amerigo Liguori, Torre del Greco.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Turris Calcio have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. Certosa Vigor Campagnano have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. In this competition Certosa Vigor Campagnano have gone W.
The numbers. Turris Calcio score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Turris Calcio average 9.3 shots (4.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Certosa Vigor Campagnano score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Turris Calcio 1-1 Certosa Vigor Campagnano (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).