CTCAL

14:30Wed 28 Oct

ASD

Caldiero Terme vs ASD Cjarlins Muzane

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Coppa Italia Serie D, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Caldiero Terme have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Caldiero Terme have gone W. ASD Cjarlins Muzane have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.

The numbers. Caldiero Terme score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Caldiero Terme average 8.4 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. ASD Cjarlins Muzane score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. ASD Cjarlins Muzane average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Caldiero Terme have won two, drawn one and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Caldiero Terme won two, one was drawn and ASD Cjarlins Muzane won one. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2023, it finished Caldiero Terme 1-1 ASD Cjarlins Muzane.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and ASD Cjarlins Muzane are not clearly stronger. Caldiero Terme's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. ASD Cjarlins Muzane or the draw. ASD Cjarlins Muzane are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASD Cjarlins Muzane.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Caldiero Terme or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs ASD Cjarlins Muzane); Caldiero Terme or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs ASD Cjarlins Muzane). Predicted score: Caldiero Terme 1-1 ASD Cjarlins Muzane (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

ASD Cjarlins Muzane or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ASD 8 of 10 (80%)91.3%

ASD Cjarlins Muzane: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Caldiero Terme: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 5 of 5 · the call is ASD Cjarlins Muzane or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and ASD Cjarlins Muzane are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

ASD Cjarlins Muzane or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 5 of 5 (100%) · ASD 4 of 10 (40%)66.3%

ASD Cjarlins Muzane: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Caldiero Terme: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 5 · the call is ASD Cjarlins Muzane or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and ASD Cjarlins Muzane are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 10 of 10 (100%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Caldiero Terme: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Cjarlins Muzane: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 9 of 10 (90%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)90%

Caldiero Terme: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Cjarlins Muzane: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 5

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

CAL 8 of 10 (80%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)86.3%

Caldiero Terme: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Cjarlins Muzane: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 5

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 9 of 10 (90%) · ASD 3 of 5 (60%)81.3%

Caldiero Terme: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Cjarlins Muzane: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 5

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.71

CAL 4 of 10 (40%) · ASD 4 of 5 (80%)55%

Caldiero Terme: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Cjarlins Muzane: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 2 of 5

CALDIERO TERME GOALS

Caldiero Terme Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 10 of 10 (100%) · ASD 3 of 5 (60%)81.3%

Caldiero Terme scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Cjarlins Muzane conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 5

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAL 7 of 10 (70%) · ASD 5 of 5 (100%)80.7%

Caldiero Terme: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Cjarlins Muzane: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Caldiero Terme or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs ASD Cjarlins Muzane); Caldiero Terme or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs ASD Cjarlins Muzane)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 10.7%

Caldiero Terme goals →

ASD Cjarlins Muzane goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.9%

5-00.3%

0-16%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-26%

1-29%

2-27%

3-24%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.9%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.5%

1-50.7%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

CALDIERO TERMELDDWDWWWLW1.80 PPG

ASD CJARLINS MUZANELWWLWWWLWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CALDIERO TERME HOMExASD CJARLINS MUZANE AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME2.301.20CONCEDED A GAME1.5040%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE22%4.40CORNERS A GAME4.332.20CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.88POINTS A GAME2.25+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CALDIERO TERME OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

ASD CJARLINS MUZANE OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CALDIERO TERMExASD CJARLINS MUZANE

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME2.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

CALDIERO TERME 2 · 40%DRAW 1ASD CJARLINS MUZANE 2 · 40%

3 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2019-10-30Caldiero Terme 0 – 1 ASD Cjarlins Muzane

2022-01-23Caldiero Terme 2 – 0 ASD Cjarlins Muzane

2022-05-15Caldiero Terme 2 – 1 ASD Cjarlins Muzane

2022-12-11Caldiero Terme 1 – 2 ASD Cjarlins Muzane

2023-04-23Caldiero Terme 1 – 1 ASD Cjarlins Muzane

TRENDS

Caldiero Terme have scored in 100% of their games.

ASD Cjarlins Muzane have scored in 80% of their games.

Caldiero Terme kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

ASD Cjarlins Muzane kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards