APASD

14:30Wed 28 Oct

LIC

LIC

ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio vs Licata 1931

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Coppa Italia Serie D, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. Licata 1931 have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition Licata 1931 have gone W.

The numbers. ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Licata 1931 score 1.3 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio the likelier winners, but both teams' records favour Licata 1931.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 2-1 Licata 1931 (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 10 of 10 (100%) · LIC 6 of 6 (100%)100%

ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Licata 1931: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

ASD 5 of 10 (50%) · LIC 6 of 6 (100%)73.3%

ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Licata 1931: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.3%

ASD Polisportiva… goals →

Licata 1931 goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.5%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASD POLISPORTIVA MODICA CALCIOWDLLWLWWLL1.30 PPG

LICATA 1931LDDWWWWWWL2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASD POLISPORTIVA MODICA CALCIO HOMExLICATA 1931 AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.401.10CONCEDED A GAME1.5040%CLEAN SHEETS30%50%FAILED TO SCORE22%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.60POINTS A GAME1.86-1.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.45LEAGUE GAMES7

Licata 1931: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

47%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

ASD POLISPORTIVA MODICA CALCIO OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

LICATA 1931 OR DRAW

27%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ASD POLISPORTIVA MODICA CALCIOxLICATA 1931

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.820%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio have scored in 60% of their games.

Licata 1931 have scored in 90% of their games.

ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Licata 1931 kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets