ALACL

14:30Wed 28 Oct

PRO

AC Leon vs Pro Patria Busto Arsizio

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

DOUBLE CHANCE

Class E

ALv

Double Chance: Draw or Pro Patria…

AC Leon v Pro Patria Busto Arsizio

Italy - Coppa Italia… · 14:30

1.42odds

70%book

+7edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Coppa Italia Serie D, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. AC Leon have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition AC Leon have gone W. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. In this competition Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have gone W.

The numbers. AC Leon score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. AC Leon average 10.8 shots (4.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio score 2.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio average 15.7 shots (5.0 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are not clearly stronger. AC Leon's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pro Patria Busto Arsizio the likelier winners; Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pro Patria Busto Arsizio. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or Pro Patria Busto Arsizio at 1.42, 77% on the records (Pro Patria Busto Arsizio unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; AC Leon failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Leave: Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AC Leon 1-2 Pro Patria Busto Arsizio (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACL 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · AC Leon: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · the call is Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Double Chance: Draw or Pro Patria Busto ArsizioMAININ CODES

1.42

ACL 5 of 5 (100%) · PRO 3 of 5 (60%)76.7%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · AC Leon failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACL 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 3 of 5 (60%)68.3%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · AC Leon: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · the call is Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.78

ACL 7 of 8 (88%) · PRO 2 of 7 (29%)58%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AC Leon lost 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · won 6, refunded 2, lost 2

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

2.40

ACL 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 2 of 5 (40%)55%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio won 4 of 5 away · AC Leon lost 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 45% · the call is Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Pro Patria Busto Arsizio are not clearly stronger (rule 8)

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACL 5 of 5 (100%) · PRO 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%

AC Leon: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%

AC LEON GOALS

AC Leon Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.49

ACL 3 of 5 (60%) · PRO 3 of 5 (60%)60%

AC Leon scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%

PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO GOALS

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACL 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio scored in 4 of 5 away · AC Leon conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ACL 4 of 5 (80%) · PRO 4 of 5 (80%)80%

AC Leon: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Pro Patria Busto Arsizio: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Pro Patria Busto Arsizio or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.7%

AC Leon goals →

Pro Patria Busto… goals ↓

0-05%

1-05%

2-03%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-18%

1-111%

2-16%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-35%

1-36%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.7%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.8%

1-51%

2-50.6%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AC LEONWDDDLWWWWL1.80 PPG

PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIOWWWWLDWWWD2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AC LEON HOMExPRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.901.20CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS40%11%FAILED TO SCORE22%6.25CORNERS A GAME7.002.00CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.83+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AC LEON OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

PRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AC LEONxPRO PATRIA BUSTO ARSIZIO

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.801.80CONCEDED A GAME0.403.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

AC Leon have scored in 100% of their games.

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Leon kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Pro Patria Busto Arsizio kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards