ACASD

14:30Wed 28 Oct

REG

REG

ASD Castrumfavara vs Reggina 1914

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 9. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. ASD Castrumfavara are 14th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Vigor Lamezia, level on points with Modica. A win would take them above Vigor Lamezia. Reggina 1914 are 2nd on 19 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Sambiase, 1 point clear of Vibonese. A win would take them above Sambiase.

Form. ASD Castrumfavara have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Reggina 1914 have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.

The numbers. ASD Castrumfavara score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Reggina 1914 score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Reggina 1914 average 6.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings ASD Castrumfavara have won one, drawn none and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 4 Jan 2026, it finished ASD Castrumfavara 0-2 Reggina 1914.

The case against. ASD Castrumfavara's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. Reggina 1914 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Reggina 1914 the likelier winners; Reggina 1914 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Reggina 1914. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Reggina 1914 or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ASD Castrumfavara 1-2 Reggina 1914 (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Reggina 1914 or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 7 of 8 (88%) · REG 5 of 5 (100%)94.6%

Reggina 1914: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 4 · Reggina 1914: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Reggina 1914's level

Reggina 1914 or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 6 of 8 (75%) · REG 4 of 5 (80%)82%

Reggina 1914: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 4 · Reggina 1914: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Reggina 1914's level

Reggina 1914 (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 6 of 7 (86%) · REG 5 of 7 (71%)63.5%

Reggina 1914 won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · ASD Castrumfavara lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 4 · Reggina 1914: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Reggina 1914's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 4

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 5 of 5 (100%) · REG 8 of 8 (100%)93.1%

ASD Castrumfavara: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Reggina 1914: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Reggina 1914's level · Reggina 1914: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 4 of 5 (80%) · REG 6 of 8 (75%)76.9%

ASD Castrumfavara: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Reggina 1914: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 4 · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Reggina 1914's level · Reggina 1914: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

REGGINA 1914 GOALS

Reggina 1914 Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASD 7 of 8 (88%) · REG 4 of 5 (80%)79.9%

Reggina 1914 scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 4 · Reggina 1914: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Reggina 1914's level

Left off the list: Reggina 1914 or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.4%

ASD Castrumfavara goals →

Reggina 1914 goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-19%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.5%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.6%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASD CASTRUMFAVARADLWLDLLLWL0.80 PPG

REGGINA 1914WWWWWWLLDW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA HOMExREGGINA 1914 AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.701.60CONCEDED A GAME0.6010%CLEAN SHEETS60%50%FAILED TO SCORE12%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME2.17-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES6

Reggina 1914: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

REGGINA 1914 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

41%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

REGGINA 1914 OR DRAW

39%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ASD CASTRUMFAVARAxREGGINA 1914

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME0.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA 1 · 25%DRAW 0REGGINA 1914 3 · 75%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-01-15ASD Castrumfavara 1 – 3 Reggina 1914

2025-04-27ASD Castrumfavara 1 – 3 Reggina 1914

2025-09-07ASD Castrumfavara 2 – 1 Reggina 1914

2026-01-04ASD Castrumfavara 0 – 2 Reggina 1914

TRENDS

ASD Castrumfavara have scored in 50% of their games.

Reggina 1914 have scored in 90% of their games.

ASD Castrumfavara kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Reggina 1914 kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table